Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.514750 0.572250 0.634332 0.706471 0.788154 0.877960 0.984421
2025-04-06 0.419725 0.497781 0.588517 0.702336 0.842059 1.008959 1.224870
2025-04-13 0.354088 0.437644 0.539503 0.673834 0.847844 1.067693 1.369756
2025-04-20 0.321374 0.411026 0.524727 0.681139 0.893251 1.174546 1.581969
2025-04-27 0.296175 0.390000 0.513100 0.688739 0.936663 1.279842 1.800946
2025-05-04 0.275025 0.371536 0.502004 0.694301 0.975684 1.380598 2.022674
2025-05-11 0.256062 0.353896 0.489738 0.695907 1.007617 1.472435 2.239711
2025-05-18 0.241782 0.341321 0.483026 0.704098 1.048859 1.580755 2.493452
2025-05-25 0.222745 0.320174 0.461865 0.688211 1.050791 1.627027 2.650122
2025-06-01 0.212714 0.311434 0.458170 0.698357 1.093945 1.742407 2.935829
2025-06-08 0.199980 0.297575 0.445463 0.692835 1.110502 1.814513 3.153120
2025-06-15 0.191236 0.289171 0.440442 0.699003 1.146595 1.922618 3.448048
2025-06-22 0.179507 0.275472 0.426340 0.689434 1.155589 1.985459 3.668860
2025-06-29 0.169860 0.264483 0.415855 0.685129 1.173431 2.066112 3.935467
2025-07-06 0.156597 0.246733 0.392992 0.657443 1.146253 2.059733 4.024122
2025-07-13 0.150923 0.241149 0.390043 0.664543 1.183678 2.179886 4.392369
2025-07-20 0.145736 0.236019 0.387450 0.671931 1.222074 2.305563 4.789741
2025-07-27 0.140599 0.230630 0.383994 0.677339 1.256911 2.427384 5.195570
2025-08-03 0.135219 0.224479 0.378756 0.678899 1.284073 2.535857 5.585917
2025-08-10 0.131182 0.220433 0.376984 0.686862 1.324785 2.677216 6.075930
2025-08-17 0.124024 0.210415 0.363733 0.671419 1.315451 2.708161 6.296810
2025-08-24 0.120878 0.207459 0.363294 0.681281 1.360457 2.865124 6.863407
2025-08-31 0.115887 0.200848 0.355607 0.675913 1.371975 2.946490 7.243460